LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with announcement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU beat the Longhorns and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. However, during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams look to take over a top-four place in the race into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs, into creating bad decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. This includes the 45 they dumped on Texas on the street.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in with the roar of Death Valley anticipating. Can the No. 5 defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and likewise win the bet and also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling? Heres the breakdown.
Theres very little doubt in Burrows ability . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the very best getting teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some big games. Chase is a existence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal that can fill the area. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the DB unit theyve played throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU opponents: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Although its safe to say theyve yet to perform a QB of all the caliber of Burrow, florida sits in 33rd. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but still has a ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even face a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami on the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as coming in to this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though the QB have to enhance his awareness he has to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup. Auburns according is possibly the very best in the nation, and ranks 11th in lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is currently 85th in bag rate. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee.
With the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most considered DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposite side of him would probably soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that permitted the smallest quantity of first downs. Though this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be a push if given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this season, going however. A tackle broke at the point on his approach last weekend. Even with this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and is going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky match.
It puts ways too much strain on Trask at a hostile environment Should they dont get Dameon or even Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world following a week. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this sport staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or anything close to that against a defense whos known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
Since the team has relied upon them much too much to modify the wave in games, the Gators defense will wear out with time. Marco Wilson will be the subject from Jefferson or the physical Chase.
However, I do not expect this. Keeping the game in a lot of a slog till then makes Florida the appropriate wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)